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📈 Kryptotrader

Två parallella strategier — välj flik

Jämförelse av båda strategier från och med 2026-05-13

📊 Momentum v3

$8,466

från $11,400

Momentum return

-25.73%

Vinnare hittills

SMA50

spread: -22.19 pp

📈 SMA50-Trend

$9,636

från $9,990

SMA50 return

-3.55%

📊 Daglig jämförelse (från 2026-05-13)

Datum	Momentum $	Momentum %	SMA50 $	SMA50 %
2026-06-05	$8,466	-25.73%	$9,636	-3.55%
2026-06-04	$8,464	-25.75%	$9,714	-2.76%
2026-06-03	$8,460	-25.79%	$9,811	-1.80%
2026-06-02	$9,042	-20.68%	$9,985	-0.05%
2026-06-01	$9,273	-18.66%	$10,043	+0.53%
2026-05-31	$9,371	-17.80%	$10,070	+0.80%
2026-05-30	$9,378	-17.73%	$9,784	-2.07%
2026-05-29	$9,376	-17.75%	$9,771	-2.19%
2026-05-28	$9,519	-16.50%	$9,806	-1.84%
2026-05-27	$9,650	-15.35%	$9,837	-1.54%
2026-05-26	$9,905	-13.11%	$9,856	-1.34%
2026-05-25	$9,836	-13.71%	$9,828	-1.62%
2026-05-24	$10,075	-11.62%	$9,832	-1.58%
2026-05-23	$10,048	-11.86%	$9,813	-1.77%
2026-05-22	$10,424	-8.56%	$9,844	-1.47%
2026-05-21	$10,085	-11.53%	$9,807	-1.83%
2026-05-20	$9,928	-12.91%	$9,775	-2.16%
2026-05-19	$10,071	-11.65%	$9,798	-1.93%
2026-05-18	$10,198	-10.54%	$9,836	-1.54%
2026-05-17	$10,207	-10.46%	$9,860	-1.30%
2026-05-16	$10,587	-7.13%	$9,944	-0.46%
2026-05-15	$11,241	-1.39%	$10,013	+0.23%
2026-05-14	$11,261	-1.22%	$9,985	-0.05%
2026-05-13	$11,400	+0.00%	$9,990	+0.00%

Båda strategier normaliseras till sin baseline 2026-05-13. Avkastning visar utveckling från det datumet och framåt. Tidigare trades från Momentum-boten visas på sin egen flik.

ℹ️ Om strategierna

📊 Momentum v3 (sedan 2026-01-24)
• 7 coins (BTC/ETH/BNB/XRP/SOL/DOGE/SUI)
• EMA(50) + ROC(20), max 2 positioner
• PAXG-guld som filler
• Momentum-viktad allokering

📈 SMA50-Trend (sedan 2026-05-13)
• 4 coins (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB), $10k start
• SMA(50) med per-coin hysteres
• 10% position size per trigger
• Yearly cross-rebal till 25% var
• Backtest (2020-2026): CAGR 153%, Calmar 3.47

7 coins | EMA(50) | ROC(20) | Max 2 positioner | Guld-filler (PAXG) när krypto saknar signal

Strategi

$8,468.2

B&H Portfölj

$6,165.3

Avkastning

-15.3%

B&H Return

-38.3%

Alpha

+23.0%

Trades

📊 Positioner

Inga positioner (100% cash)

🎯 Marknadsöversikt (sorterat efter market cap)

Coin	Pris	EMA(50)	Pris/EMA	ROC(20)	Signal
BTC	$63,094.49	$74,149.23	-14.9%	-19.3%	—
ETH	$1,731.61	$2,110.08	-17.9%	-20.6%	—
BNB	$597.82	$644.92	-7.3%	-8.9%	—
XRP	$1.14	$1.35	-15.5%	-19.5%	—
SOL	$67.29	$83.48	-19.4%	-22.2%	—
DOGE	$0.09	$0.10	-14.3%	-21.1%	—
SUI	$0.74	$0.97	-23.8%	-30.6%	—

🟡 Guld-Filler (PAXG)

Pris $4,435.61

SMA(150) $4,787.05

Ovanför SMA? Nej

Status Under SMA — cash

Guld köps automatiskt när inga krypto har signal och PAXG > SMA(150). Säljs direkt när krypto-signal dyker upp.

📜 Senaste Trades

Tid	Action	Coin	Värde
2026-06-03T01:05	SELL	BNB	$8,468
2026-05-31T01:05	BUY	BNB	$9,380
2026-05-29T01:05	SELL	BNB	$9,384
2026-05-27T01:05	BUY MORE	BNB	$6,370
2026-05-27T01:05	SELL	SUI	$6,376
2026-05-26T01:05	BUY MORE	BNB	$1,453
2026-05-20T01:05	BUY	BNB	$1,796
2026-05-20T01:05	SELL	DOGE	$3,250
2026-05-11T01:05	BUY MORE	SUI	$2,044
2026-05-11T01:05	TRIM	DOGE	$2,046

📋 Entry/Exit Regler

✓ KRYPTO ENTRY:
Close > EMA(50) AND ROC(20) > 0

⚠ KRYPTO EXIT:
Close < EMA(50) OR ROC(20) ≤ 0

🟡 GULD-FILLER:
Ingen krypto-signal + PAXG > SMA(150) → köp guld

Allokering:
Topp 2 krypto (ROC-viktade) ELLER 100% guld

Rebalansering:
Krypto: >15% avvikelse | Guld: omedelbart

⚙️ Strategi-parametrar

Krypto Universe: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, SUI
Krypto Entry: Close > EMA(50) AND ROC(20) > 0
Krypto Exit: Close < EMA(50) OR ROC(20) ≤ 0
Allokering: Momentum-viktad (topp 2)
Rebalansering: 15% tröskel
Guld-filler: PAXG > SMA(150) → 100% guld
Cash-ränta: 5% årlig
Backtest CAGR: 276% (vs 234% utan guld)

Senaste uppdatering: 2026-06-05 21:57:55
Bot senast körd: 2026-06-05T01:05:09

4 krypto (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB) | SMA50-trend | per-coin hysteres | yearly cross-rebal

Strategi

$9,528.4

B&H 4-coin

$7,412.1

Avkastning

-4.7%

B&H Return

-25.9%

Alpha

+21.2%

Krypto-andel

20%

Cash

$7,612
(80%)

Trades

🎯 Marknadsöversikt (SMA50 + per-coin hysteres)

Coin	Pris (T-1)	SMA50	Pris/SMA	Hysteres (köp/sälj)	Signal idag
BTC	$63,885.99	$76,699.01	-16.71%	+10% / -0%	⚠ SÄLJ
ETH	$1,770.77	$2,206.42	-19.74%	+0% / -3%	⚠ SÄLJ
SOL	$68.88	$85.57	-19.51%	+3% / -0%	⚠ SÄLJ
BNB	$604.53	$645.28	-6.32%	+2% / -0%	⚠ SÄLJ

Signal beräknas på gårdagens close vs SMA50 (look-ahead-skydd). Trade exekveras på dagens open vid daglig bot-run.

📊 Per-coin bucket (equal-weight 25% target)

Coin	Cash	Innehav	Bucket-värde	Andel av total	Krypto i bucket
BTC	$2,507.63	0.000000 ($0.00)	$2,507.63	26.3%	0% i BTC
ETH	$2,446.16	0.000000 ($0.00)	$2,446.16	25.7%	0% i ETH
SOL	$2,406.65	0.000000 ($0.00)	$2,406.65	25.3%	0% i SOL
BNB	$251.50	3.377319 ($1,916.49)	$2,167.99	22.8%	88% i BNB

📜 Senaste Trades (SMA50)

Tid	Action	Coin	Värde	Orsak
2026-06-05T01:20	SELL	BNB	$235	close
2026-05-25T01:20	SELL	SOL	$183	close
2026-05-24T01:20	SELL	SOL	$240	close
2026-05-23T01:20	BUY	BNB	$249	close>SMA×(1+0.02)
2026-05-22T01:20	BUY	BNB	$246	close>SMA×(1+0.02)
2026-05-21T01:20	SELL	SOL	$240	close
2026-05-21T01:20	SELL	ETH	$206	close
2026-05-20T01:20	BUY	BNB	$244	close>SMA×(1+0.02)
2026-05-20T01:20	SELL	SOL	$241	close
2026-05-20T01:20	SELL	ETH	$244	close

📋 Strategi-regler

✓ KÖP-signal:
close[T-1] > SMA50[T-1] × (1 + hyst_buy)

⚠ SÄLJ-signal:
close[T-1] < SMA50[T-1] × (1 - hyst_sell)

Position size:
10% av bucket-värde per trigger

Yearly cross-rebal:
Första vardagen i januari → 25% per coin

Hysteres per coin:
BTC 10%/0% · ETH 0%/3% · SOL 3%/0% · BNB 2%/0%

⚙️ Strategi-parametrar & backtest

Universe: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB (4 coins)
Allokering: Equal-weight 25% per coin, yearly cross-rebal
Signal: SMA50-trend (close vs SMA50 med per-coin hysteres)
Position size: 10% av bucket-värde per trigger, 0.1% friction
Cash-ränta: 5% årlig på obesatt kapital
Backtest (2020-08 → 2026-05, yearly rebal):
CAGR 153.4% · MaxDD -44.2% · Calmar 3.47 · Slutvärde $1.84M
Walk-forward (rolling 2-år, glid 6 mån): Median Calmar 1.92, std 4.08. Realistic förväntan: Calmar 1.5-2.5.

Bot senast körd: 2026-06-05T01:20:06